Bitcoin Climbs Back to $106K Following Middle East Ceasefire and Fed Policy Signals

Last Updated on June 24, 2025

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Key Takeaways:

  • Bitcoin rebounded to $106K amid easing geopolitical tensions and increased rate cut expectations.
  • Ceasefire between Israel and Iran and weaker USD spurred broad market optimism.
  • Bitcoin hashrate dropped 8%, possibly due to U.S. weather issues, despite stable derivatives market.

Bitcoin surged back to $106,000 after briefly falling below $98,500 over the weekend, driven by easing geopolitical tensions and growing speculation about U.S. interest rate cuts.

A ceasefire announcement between Israel and Iran by President Trump calmed market nerves, prompting a broad risk rally.

Oil prices dropped, the S&P 500 rose 1%, and the U.S. dollar weakened – all contributing to renewed investor confidence in Bitcoin.

The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut by November jumped to 53%, up from 38% a week earlier, according to CME FedWatch data.

Bitcoin’s derivatives market remained stable, with open interest around $68 billion despite $193 million in long position liquidations.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s hashrate fell 8% over four days, raising concerns about mining stability.

While some pointed to potential disruptions in Iran, analysts suggest weather-related shutdowns in the U.S. may be the cause.

Despite short-term volatility, Bitcoin’s resilience above $100K signals continued institutional demand.

Traders now watch for further Fed guidance and geopolitical developments as key drivers of the next move.

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